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    "method": "expanding-window rolling-origin",
    "firstOrigin": "2020-12",
    "recentOrigin": "2023-01",
    "byHorizon": [
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        "skillVsBestBaseline": 17.2,
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        "skillVsBestBaseline": 23.9,
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      },
      {
        "horizonMonths": 11,
        "backtestCount": 32,
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        "skillVsBestBaseline": 1.8,
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      },
      {
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        "skillVsBestBaseline": 3.6,
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    ],
    "summary1To6": {
      "horizons": 6,
      "mean_mape_pct": 4.91,
      "mean_best_baseline_mape_pct": 6.39,
      "skill_pct": 23.2
    },
    "summary6To12": {
      "horizons": 7,
      "mean_mape_pct": 6.46,
      "mean_best_baseline_mape_pct": 7.25,
      "skill_pct": 11.0
    }
  },
  "limitations": [
    "공급·전국 도축·수입·재고·사료·환율·기상·질병 데이터를 아직 사용하지 않습니다.",
    "127개월의 월별 자료가 있지만 독립적인 연간 사이클은 약 10회뿐입니다.",
    "모델 탐색에 같은 과거 구간을 참고했으므로 완전히 손대지 않은 미래 검증은 아직 없습니다.",
    "9~12개월의 단순기준 대비 개선 폭은 작아 확정 계획값이나 자동 의사결정에 사용하면 안 됩니다.",
    "80% 범위는 보장이나 신뢰구간이 아니라 과거 오차로 보정한 경험적 계획 범위입니다."
  ],
  "source": {
    "name": "축산물품질평가원_축산물등급판정정보",
    "url": "https://www.data.go.kr/data/15058822/openapi.do"
  },
  "license": "https://www.kogl.or.kr/info/licenseType1.do"
}